报告作者李斯吟 朱彤昕免责申明本报告内容和观点仅代表作者的个人理解和观点，旨在加强相关领域的讨论交流，不代表支持方、作者所属机构、调研专家学者的立场和观点。本报告内容采用数据和信息均来自公开的信息和渠道，我们力求准确和完整，但难免偶有疏漏，敬请谅解并指正。引用建议李斯吟 , 朱彤昕 . 省级 “十五五” 规划建议中的双碳关键词 . 2026. 零碳录 . 北京 : 绿色创新发展研究院 .致 谢特别感谢 iGDP 同事陈美安对本文内容的审阅与建议，感谢 Diego Montero 与徐懿情（Heather Xu）对执行摘要部分的文案编辑，感谢包林洁对简报的版面设计。零碳录 2026 年 2 月1Executive SummaryWith China targeting carbon peaking before 2030, formal policy actions in the next five years indicate the paths being taken toward this comprehensive green transition. Guiding policy action is the 15th Five-Year Plan. In October 2025, China released the Recommendations of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China for Formulating the 15th Five-Year Plan for National Economic and Social Development (“national recommendations”). Subsequently, provincial governments have issued their own 15th Five-Year Plan recommendations (“provincial recommendations”), outlining local priorities for achieving carbon peaking and neutrality ("dual carbon" goals). As of January 2026, 30 provinces have released the full text of their recommendations. This policy brief systematically reviews the green and low-carbon development content in these provincial documents, aiming to offer a forward-looking picture of how provinces across China expect to shape their “dual carbon” pathways under the 15th Five-Year Plan. It covers top-level policy designs such as carbon peaking targets and the dual control system for carbon emissions, plans for new energy system construction, and sectoral transition priorities for industry, transport, construct...
