BlueprintBlueprintBeprnBlueprintBeprntepeTheFossilFuelTransitionInitiativenaearbonTrackerarbonTrackerarboconTrakercTheCarbonTrackerInitiativeisateamoffinancialspecialistsmakingclimateriskrealintoday’sfinancialmarkets.Ourresearchtodateonunburnablecarbonandstrandedassetshasstartedanewdebateonhowtoalignthefinancialsystemwiththeenergytransitiontoalowcarbonfuture.Youcandownloadthisreportfrom:http://www.carbontracker.org/report/companyblueprint/Thisreportwasauthoredby:EnergyTransitionAdvisors:MarkFulton,FoundingPartneratEnergyTransitionAdvisors(ETA)andAdvisortoCarbonTrackerInitiativePaulSpedding,formerGlobalCo-HeadofOilAndGasatHSBCandResearchAdvisortoETACarbonTrackerInitiative:RobertSchuwerk,SeniorCounselatCarbonTrackerInitiativeLukeSussams,SeniorResearcheratCarbonTrackerInitiativeTypesetanddesignedby:MargheritaGagliardi,CommunicationsOfficeratCarbonTrackerInitiativeAcknowledgementsAboutCarbonTrackerCarbonTrackerisdevelopingatransitionroadmapforthefossilfuelindustry(the“BlueprintSeries”).Thiswilloutlinethestepswebelievethattheindustryandindividualcompanieswillneedtotaketoadapttheirbusinesspracticesandmodelstomovedownatrajectoryconsistentwithanenergytransitionthatdeliversaclimatesecureglobalenergysystem.Welaunchthisserieswithadocumentlookingattheframeworkforhardwiringthenecessaryriskmanagementandassociatedgovernanceproceduresintothedecisionmakingprocessesofcompaniestomanageclimaterisk,preservevalueandmanagethetransition.Ourfocusisprimarilyonhowdemandcouldbedisruptedbyclimateregulation,emergingcleantechnologies,efficiencyandeconomicassumptionsandflowontocommodityprices.Thesechangescouldmanifestthemselvesineitheranorderlyoradisorderlymanner.Governanceprocesseswithincompaniesneedtobefitforpurposetomanagetheseriskshowevertheymanifest.Furtherdocumentsintheserieswillalsobedesignedspecificallyforinvestorsandregulatorsconcernedwithtransparency.Thesewillhelpthemunderstandmorefullytheserisksandthespecificstepstheyshouldberequiringthecompaniestheyownorregulatetoincorporateintotheirgovernancestructuretomanagerisks.Thegoaloftheseriesistoprovideasignpostedroadmaptotesttheprogressofcompaniestowardsbeingabletocopewithamoreclimatesecureglobalenergysystemconsistentwiththe2ºCbudget.Thiswillbeacriticaltoolforshareholdersintheirengagementwithcompaniesaroundclimaterisk..TheFossilFuelTransitionBlueprintSeriesContext:TheBlueprintSeriesContent0.ExecutiveSummaryManagingcorporateriskfromanenergytransition:anoilandgasfocus1.IntroductionCreatingshareholdervaluebyloweringriskandboostingreturns2.OverviewClimate/economicriskmanagement-Goodgovernance3.ChecklistRiskManagementchecklistandcorporategovernanceAppendix3:QuantifyingValuationandRiskmeasuresAppendix2-ManagingDemandscenarios–CarbonTracker’sapproachAppendix1-Mindthegap–AlookatoilcompanyassumptionsondemandcomparedtotheIEA4CarbonTracker&EnergyTransitionAdvisors2632345101317Focusingonhigherinternalratesofreturn(IRR)-lowercostprojectsreducesriskforcompaniesandshareholders.Itmightalsocreateadditionalvaluebyimprovingstockratingsshouldhistoricreturn/ratingrelationshipspersist.Inourview,fossilfuelcompaniesandtheirshareholdersareexposedtothefollowingkeyrisksassociatedwithclimatechange.CarbonTrackerbelievesthatfossilfuelmanagementareoverlyfocusedondemandandpricescenariosthatassumebusinessasusualandsotheremaybeariskassessment‘gap’betweenamanagement’sview...
