湖北省能源消费与碳排放现况及发展趋势研究_杜奇迹免费下载

· 97·节能减排与综合利用湖北省能源消费与碳排放现况及发展趋势研究*杜奇迹1赵璐1范黎1肖建军2（1.湖北省电力规划设计研究院有限公司，湖北 武汉 430040；2.华中科技大学 能源与动力工程学院，湖北 武汉 430074）摘要基于统计年鉴和中国碳核算数据库，全面分析了近 10a湖北省能源消费总量、能源消费结构、化石能源消费行业分布、碳排放总量和碳排放行业分布，计算得到湖北省能耗强度、人均能耗、碳排放强度、人均碳排放、吨标煤碳排放等关键指标，在与全国平均水平和兄弟省份（江苏、浙江、广东）现况进行对比分析的同时，研究了指标间的关联关系，预测了湖北省能源消费和碳排放发展趋势，可为其双碳路径制定提供重要依据。关键词能源消费碳排放湖北省现况发展趋势Study on current situation and development trend of energy consumption andcarbon emission in Hubei provinceDU Qiji1ZHAO Lu1FAN Li1XIAO Jianjun2（1.PowerChina Hubei Electric Engineering Co.，Ltd.，Wuhan Hubei 430040，China）AbstractBased on the statistical yearbooks and China Emission Accounts Datasets，the total energy consumption，energy consumption structure，fossil energy consumption industry distribution，total carbon emission and carbon em-ission industry distribution in Hubei province during the past ten years were comprehensively analyzed.The key indi-cators such as energy consumption intensity，per capita energy consumption，carbon emission intensity，per capita car-bon emission and carbon emission per ton of standard coal were calculated and compared with the national averagesand the current situation of other sister provinces（Jiangsu，Zhejiang and Guangdong）.The associated relationshipsamong the indicators were also analyzed. Finally，the trends of energy consumption and carbon emission in Hubeiprovince were predicted，which could provide an important basis for the formulation of carbon neutral path.Key wordsenergy consumptioncarbon emissionHubei provincecurrent situationdevelopment trend0引言随着“2030...