CHINA CHINA Michal Meidan, Head of China Energy Research, OIES Anders Hove, Research Associate, OIES Michal Meidan Senior Research Fellow OIESThe outlook for China’s fossil fuel consumption under the energy transition and its geopolitical implications June 2023 December 2021 OIES PAPER: CE8 OIES PAPER: ET06 The contents of this paper are the author’s sole responsibility. They do not necessarily represent the views of the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies or any of its Members. i The contents of this paper are the author’s sole responsibility. They do not necessarily represent the views of the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies or any of its members. Copyright © 2023 Oxford Institute for Energy Studies (Registered Charity, No. 286084) This publication may be reproduced in part for educational or non-profit purposes without special permission from the copyright holder, provided acknowledgment of the source is made. No use of this publication may be made for resale or for any other commercial purpose whatsoever without prior permission in writing from the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies. ISBN 978-1-78467-209-6 With funding support from the Ministry of Defence, UK The contents of this paper are the author’s sole responsibility. They do not necessarily represent the views of the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies or any of its Members. ii Acknowledgements The author thanks Philip Andrews-Speed, Bassam Fattouh and James Henderson for their comments and suggestions. The contents of this paper are the author’s sole responsibility. They do not necessarily represent the views of the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies or any of its Members. iii Executive summary China is currently the world’s l...