074专题研究 我国汽车与环境协同发展进程中主要矛盾与发展方向研究我国汽车与环境协同发展进程中主要矛盾与发展方向研究The Principal Contradiction and Coordination Development Strategies of Automobile Industry and Emission Control in China吴潇萌，吴烨，郝吉明（清华大学，北京 100084）Wu Xiaomeng , Wu Ye, Hao Jiming (Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China)摘要：本文对我国目前汽车的污染物排放特征进行了研究，对各类汽车污染物排放的历史数据进行了分析、总结与建模，对未来排放趋势进行了预测，并对我国未来汽车与环境协同发展进程中的瓶颈与主要矛盾进行了总结与梳理，提出了适用于我国的汽车与环境协同发展路线与重点发展方向，给出了相应的发展建议与控制对策。关键词：汽车强国；协同发展；汽车排放控制中图分类号：X131.1 文献标识码：AAbstract: The rapid development of the automobile industry brings substantial environmental challenges to China. Therefore, inte-grated development strategies targeting both the automobile industry and emission control, although difficult, are essential. Based on a localized model, this paper analyzes the characteristics of and historical trends in China’s vehicle emissions and quantifies future trends under various emission control scenarios. The research summarizes and combs the bottlenecks and main contradictions in the process of synergetic development of China’s future automobile industry and environmental improvement, puts forward the roadmap for the synergetic development applicable to China, and gives corresponding development proposals and control strategies.Keywords: automobile power; coordination development; vehicle emission control收稿日期：2018-01-15；修回日期：2018-02-10通讯作者：吴烨，清华大学，教授，主要研究方向为大气污染防治与机动车排放控制；E-mail: ywu@tsinghua.edu.cn资助项目：中国工程院咨询项目“汽车强国战略研究”(2015-XZ-36)本刊网址：www.enginsci.cnDOI 10.15302/J-SSCAE-2018.01.011075中国工程科学 2018 年...
