新能源电力系统仿真技术及应用The Simulation Technology and Application of Renewable Energy Power Systems郭 琦Qi Guo2024 年 10 月珠海October 2024,Zhuhai知识产权声明本文件的知识产权属南方电网公司所有。对本文件的使用及处置应严格遵循南方电网公 司有关规定或获取本文件的合同及约定的条件和要求。未经南方电网公司事先书面同意, 不得对外披露、复制。Inteal Property Rights StatementThis document is the propernd contains proprietary information owned by CSG and/or itsrelated proprietor.You agrereat this document in strict accordance with the terms andconditions of the agreementwhich it was provided to you.No disclosure or copy of thisdocument is permitted withoutrior written permission ofCSG.引言Introduction挑战与发展Challenge and Development典型案例Typical case总结 展望Summary and Prospect二 三 四目 录Content3● 近年来,我国新能源发展迅速,装机容量不断增加In recent years,China's renewable energy has developed rapidly,with installed capacity continuously increasing. ● 截至 2023 年底,全国新能源装机 10.5 亿千瓦,占比 35.96% ; 预计 2030 年全国新能源装机将超 15.5 亿千瓦,占比超 40%As of the end of 2023,the total installed capacity of renewable energy reached 1.05billion kW( 35.96%) .It is estimated that by 2030,the total installed capacity of renewable energy will reach 1.55 billion kW(40%).新能源发展迅速,我国电网结构正逐步发生变革The rapid development of renewable energy is transforming China's power supply structure风电13%核电2%水电17% 2020 年我国电源结构太阳能发电 21%风电15%核电2%太阳能发电24%风电16%核电3%2030 年我国电源结构预测总装机约 40 亿 kW, 新能源占比约 40%Totalinstalledcapacity 4.0 billion kWRenewable energy(wind+solar) 40% 42 023 年我国电源结构总装机约 29 亿 kW, 新能源占比约36% Totalinstalledcapacity 2.9 billion kWRenewable 总装机约 22 亿 kW, 新能源占比约24%Totalinstalledcapacity 2.2 billion kWRenew...